GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SKA Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Spartak Tambov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SKA Rostov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SKA Rostov hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Cup, while SKA Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SKA Rostov

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

SKA Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SKA RostovDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovSKA Rostov
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power45.3
1.38xG1.46
View match centre →