GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ryazan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Spartak Tambov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ryazan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Cup, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ryazan

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RyazanWWDWW

GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovRyazan
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.18xG1.40
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