GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: FK Spartak Tambov 0-0 Ryazan, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

FK Spartak Tambov 0-0 Ryazan

Original prediction

FK Spartak Tambov

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0046.0%41.6%-4.4 pts
Draw3.2028.7%29.4%0.7 pts
Away3.6325.3%29.0%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.4 pts

Projected Score

FK Spartak Tambov 0–0 Ryazan

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
RyazanWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FK Spartak TambovRyazan
60.3Attack60.3
82.1Defence80.8
80.8Form67.9
75.0Power69.1
1.06xG0.86
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