GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Spartak Tambov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Spartak Tambov hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while FK Spartak Tambov holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

13.6%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Spartak TambovDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Metallurg LipetskLDDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovMetallurg Lipetsk
57.9Attack66.7
82.5Defence61.4
82.5Form61.4
75.3Power63.7
1.50xG0.94
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