FK Spartak Tambovvs
Kvant
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FK Spartak Tambov 3-0 Kvant, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Spartak Tambov 4-0 Kvant
Original prediction
FK Spartak Tambov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 83.8% | 76.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 8.30 | 10.7% | 13.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 16.00 | 5.5% | 9.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
FK Spartak Tambov 3–0 Kvant
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FK Spartak Tambov
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60