FK Spartak Tambovvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Spartak Tambov 2-0 Avangard Kursk, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Spartak Tambov 2-0 Avangard Kursk
Original prediction
FK Spartak Tambov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.2% | 70.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.3% | 19.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 8.58 | 10.5% | 10.4% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Avangard Kursk
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FK Spartak Tambov
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20