GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Sokol Saratov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Sokol SaratovLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shinnik YaroslavlLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Sokol SaratovShinnik Yaroslavl
31.4Attack50.0
48.0Defence55.6
37.3Form50.0
41.8Power53.0
0.87xG1.40
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