FK Sokol Saratovvs
Rodina Moskva II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Sokol Saratov 0-2 Rodina Moskva II, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Sokol Saratov 3-0 Rodina Moskva II
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.13 | 11.1% | 7.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 17.2% | 16.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.7% | 75.9% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
FK Sokol Saratov 0–2 Rodina Moskva II
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20