FK Sokol Saratovvs
Leningradets
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sokol Saratov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Sokol Saratov 1-1 Leningradets
Original prediction
FK Sokol Saratov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 30.4% | 42.0% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.2% | 27.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.5% | 30.4% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FK Sokol Saratov
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
FK Sokol Saratov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00