FK Sarajevovs
Zrinjski
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Sarajevo 0-1 Zrinjski
Original prediction
Zrinjski
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.9% | 30.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.7% | 29.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 40.2% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00