FK Sarajevovs
Sloga Doboj
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Sarajevo 0-0 Sloga Doboj, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Sarajevo 2-0 Sloga Doboj
Original prediction
FK Sarajevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 65.6% | 43.7% | -21.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.1% | 32.9% | 9.8 pts |
| Away | 7.89 | 11.3% | 23.5% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.9 pts
Projected Score
FK Sarajevo 0–0 Sloga Doboj
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
FK Sarajevo
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
FK Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK SarajevoLLWWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sloga DobojLDWDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK SarajevoSloga Doboj
19.0Attack23.8
76.2Defence71.4
47.6Form42.9
50.6Power49.0
0.69xG0.54