GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/11/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Sarajevo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Posušje are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Posušje hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Premijer Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK SarajevoLDDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PosušjeLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
FK SarajevoPosušje
0.0Attack35.4
100.0Defence70.7
33.3Form48.5
45.3Power53.0
0.80xG0.86
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