UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 14:55
FK Sarajevo

FK Sarajevo

Home
LD
11
Full time
Inter Turku

Inter Turku

Away
WD
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
FK Sarajevo(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
FK Sarajevo
40%
Draw
26%
Inter Turku
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Sarajevo
34
Inter Turku
54
Defence
FK Sarajevo
46
Inter Turku
66
Momentum
FK Sarajevo
17
Inter Turku
67
Danger (xG)
FK Sarajevo
0.90
Inter Turku
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FK Sarajevo)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Inter Turku)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (FK Sarajevo)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Inter Turku)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo
LDD
Inter TurkuInter Turku
WDWWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
FK Sarajevo40%
Draw26%
Inter Turku34%

FK Sarajevo leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FK Sarajevo head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture in mixed form (LD), while Inter Turku arrive in mixed form (WD). FK Sarajevo have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Inter Turku over 2 games.

The model rates FK Sarajevo's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Inter Turku defence, and Inter Turku's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 FK Sarajevo backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

FK Sarajevo have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Inter Turku have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Inter Turku have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Sarajevo to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FK Sarajevo 3964%, Draw 2600%, Inter Turku 3436%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

FK Sarajevo 0Draws 11 Inter Turku
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
FK Sarajevo
L12
Inter Turku
9 Jul 2026
FK Sarajevo
D11
Inter Turku

Recent form

FK Sarajevo

FK Sarajevo

L
@ Inter Turku
16 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Inter Turku
9 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Siroki Brijeg
16 May 2026
22
Inter Turku

Inter Turku

W
vs FK Sarajevo
16 Jul 2026
21
D
@ FK Sarajevo
9 Jul 2026
11
W
@ VPS
30 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Mariehamn
27 Jun 2026
20
D
vs SJK
23 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Sarajevo to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FK Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more