GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/7/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Rabotnicki are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Shkupi 1927 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkupi 1927 hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK RabotnickiLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Shkupi 1927LLDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FK RabotnickiShkupi 1927
29.3Attack42.4
65.7Defence76.8
42.4Form62.6
47.9Power62.2
0.47xG0.83
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