GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 8/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Partizan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FK Partizan 3-1 OFK Beograd

Original prediction

FK Partizan

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6555.5%46.9%-8.6 pts
Draw3.9323.3%25.4%2.1 pts
Away4.3321.2%27.7%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

FK Partizan

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

FK Partizan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK PartizanWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OFK BeogradWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK PartizanOFK Beograd
66.7Attack44.4
44.4Defence44.4
44.4Form44.4
53.1Power44.3
1.71xG1.23
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