FK Partizanvs
Novi Pazar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Partizan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Partizan 1-0 Novi Pazar
Original prediction
FK Partizan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.7% | 44.1% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 24.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.2% | 31.3% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
FK Partizan
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
FK Partizan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00