GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Partizan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FK Partizan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Lugano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Partizan hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while FK Partizan holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Partizan

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

FK Partizan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK PartizanWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC LuganoWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FK PartizanFC Lugano
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power21.5
1.50xG1.14
View match centre →