FK Liepajavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Liepaja 0-0 Tukums
Original prediction
FK Liepaja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.9% | 49.3% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.2% | 25.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 5.69 | 15.9% | 24.8% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40