FK Liepajavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tukums are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
11.0%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20