FK Liepajavs
Riga
SCHEDULEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
FK Liepaja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
74.1%
Model confidence
13.1%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80