GGOALVIO

FK Liepaja logoFK LiepajavsRiga logoRiga

SCHEDULED

Latvia · Virsliga · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

FK Liepaja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga

Probability

74.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK LiepajaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RigaDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK LiepajaRiga
44.0Attack100.0
50.7Defence72.0
45.3Form85.3
47.7Power83.5
0.72xG2.48
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