GGOALVIO

FK Liepaja logoFK LiepajavsRiga logoRiga

COMPLETED

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/1/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Riga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riga

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK LiepajaDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RigaDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
FK LiepajaRiga
44.0Attack100.0
50.7Defence72.0
45.3Form85.3
47.7Power83.5
0.72xG2.48
View match centre →