GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 5/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Liepaja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FK Liepaja are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Liepaja

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK LiepajaLLDWD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ogre UnitedLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK LiepajaOgre United
44.0Attack32.0
50.7Defence13.3
45.3Form18.7
47.7Power24.9
2.50xG0.81
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