FK Liepajavs
Grobiņa
SCHEDULEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FK Liepaja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grobiņa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
14.7%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80