GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Liepaja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FK Liepaja are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grobiņa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Liepaja

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK LiepajaWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GrobiņaLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
44.0Attack23.1
50.7Defence39.7
45.3Form26.9
47.7Power32.5
1.79xG0.71
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