FK LiepajavsFS Jelgava

FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.