FK Liepajavs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/9/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60