FK Liepajavs
BFC Daugavpils
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Liepaja · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Liepaja 0-0 BFC Daugavpils
Original prediction
FK Liepaja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.1% | 41.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 26.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
FK Liepaja
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
FK Liepaja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20