FK Liepajavs
Auda
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Liepaja 2-3 Auda
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.8% | 31.2% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.4% | 40.8% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK LiepajaDDDWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AudaDWDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK LiepajaAuda
44.1Attack52.7
53.8Defence67.7
46.2Form65.6
49.2Power62.8
0.88xG1.40