Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tirana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FK Kukesi are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tirana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tirana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Superliga, while Tirana holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tirana
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.67/3.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00