FK Kukesivs
Besa Kavajë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Besa Kavajë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Kukesi 2-0 Besa Kavajë
Original prediction
Besa Kavajë
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.72 | 24.3% | 34.7% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 28.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.5% | 36.9% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Besa Kavajë
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Besa Kavajë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80