Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Košice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Košice 1-1 Komárno
Original prediction
FK Košice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.2% | 63.5% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.9% | 18.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.8% | 17.6% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FK Košice
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
FK Košice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK KošiceWLWWD
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KomárnoWLDWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK KošiceKomárno
87.5Attack29.6
25.0Defence48.1
50.0Form18.5
54.5Power35.0
2.69xG1.15