Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Košice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Košice 2-2 Žilina
Original prediction
FK Košice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.1% | 43.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.0% | 18.6% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.9% | 37.6% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
FK Košice
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
FK Košice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FK KošiceDWDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ŽilinaLWDLW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FK KošiceŽilina
76.7Attack81.8
33.3Defence33.3
46.7Form63.6
52.9Power61.9
3.20xG3.09