Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:06
FK Košice

FK Košice

Home
D
31
Full time
Diosgyori VTK

Diosgyori VTK

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FK Košice48%
Draw35%
Diosgyori VTK17%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
FK Košice
48%
Draw
35%
Diosgyori VTK
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Košice
73
Diosgyori VTK
34
Defence
FK Košice
27
Diosgyori VTK
6
Momentum
FK Košice
33
Diosgyori VTK
0
Danger (xG)
FK Košice
1.80
Diosgyori VTK
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.58 xG for FK Košice and 1.15 xG for Diosgyori VTK — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.43), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. FK Košice's Attack Score (73) exceeds Diosgyori VTK's Defensive Stability (6), and Diosgyori VTK's attack (34) similarly tests FK Košice's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.72 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (FK Košice)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Diosgyori VTK)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FK Košice)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Diosgyori VTK)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK KošiceFK Košice
DL
Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK
L

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
FK Košice48%
Draw35%
Diosgyori VTK17%

FK Košice leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

FK Košice Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

FK Košice take on Diosgyori VTK in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.58 for FK Košice and 1.15 for Diosgyori VTK. The gap of 0.43 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

FK Košice

FK Košice

D
@ Sturm Graz
3 Jul 2026
22
L
@ AS Trencin
16 May 2026
03
Diosgyori VTK

Diosgyori VTK

L
vs Paks
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Košice vs Diosgyori VTK?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Košice to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Košice vs Diosgyori VTK?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FK Košice vs Diosgyori VTK?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Košice vs Diosgyori VTK?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more