Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:05
FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec

Home
WWD
11
Full time
Ústí nad Labem

Ústí nad Labem

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FK Jablonec39%
Ústí nad Labem33%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
FK Jablonec
39%
Draw
29%
Ústí nad Labem
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Jablonec
34
Ústí nad Labem
34
Defence
FK Jablonec
86
Ústí nad Labem
66
Momentum
FK Jablonec
78
Ústí nad Labem
33
Danger (xG)
FK Jablonec
0.90
Ústí nad Labem
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (FK Jablonec)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ústí nad Labem)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FK Jablonec)
0.30
avg per match
xG against (Ústí nad Labem)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK JablonecFK Jablonec
WWDL
Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem
DW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
FK Jablonec39%
Draw29%
Ústí nad Labem33%

FK Jablonec leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FK Jablonec head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WWD), while Ústí nad Labem arrive in mixed form (D). FK Jablonec have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Ústí nad Labem over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — FK Jablonec (86/100) and Ústí nad Labem (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

FK Jablonec have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. Ústí nad Labem have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Jablonec to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: FK Jablonec 3880%, Draw 2880%, Ústí nad Labem 3250%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

FK Jablonec 0Draws 10 Ústí nad Labem
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
FK Jablonec
D11
Ústí nad Labem

Recent form

FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec

W
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
15 Jul 2026
10
W
vs VfL Osnabrück
12 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Ústí nad Labem
3 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Slavia Praha
13 May 2026
15
Ústí nad Labem

Ústí nad Labem

D
@ FK Jablonec
3 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Slavia Praha II
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Ústí nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Jablonec to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Ústí nad Labem?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Ústí nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Jablonec vs Ústí nad Labem?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more