GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Jablonec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FK Jablonec 1-0 Rangers

Original prediction

FK Jablonec

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9531.5%37.7%6.2 pts
Draw3.2628.5%28.4%-0.1 pts
Away2.3339.9%33.9%-6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

FK Jablonec

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

FK Jablonec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK JablonecLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RangersWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK JablonecRangers
53.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
60.0Form100.0
61.3Power80.3
1.43xG1.14
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