FK Jablonecvs
Plzen
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Jablonec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Jablonec 2-3 Plzen
Original prediction
FK Jablonec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.6% | 45.5% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.3% | 24.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 35.0% | 29.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
FK Jablonec
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
FK Jablonec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00