FK Jablonecvs
Brighton
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Jablonec 0-0 Brighton
Original prediction
Brighton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.30 | 6.6% | 27.7% | 21.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.39 | 12.8% | 23.5% | 10.8 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 80.6% | 48.8% | -31.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Brighton
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Brighton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40