FK Jablonecvs
Baník Ostrava
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Jablonec · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Jablonec 1-0 Baník Ostrava, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Jablonec 3-0 Baník Ostrava
Original prediction
FK Jablonec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 50.6% | 51.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.4% | 21.8% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FK Jablonec
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
FK Jablonec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20