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Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:13
FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda

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W
31
Full time
Vojvodina

Vojvodina

Away
W
Stadion Rajko Mit
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
FK Crvena Zvezda(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
FK Crvena Zvezda
42%
Draw
25%
Vojvodina
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FK Crvena Zvezda
100
Vojvodina
94
Defence
FK Crvena Zvezda
91
Vojvodina
91
Momentum
FK Crvena Zvezda
100
Vojvodina
100
Danger (xG)
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.50
Vojvodina
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.83 xG for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.54 xG for Vojvodina — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.29), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. FK Crvena Zvezda's Attack Score (100) exceeds Vojvodina's Defensive Stability (91), and Vojvodina's attack (94) similarly tests FK Crvena Zvezda's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.36 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. FK Crvena Zvezda's Attack Score (100) vs Vojvodina's Defensive Stability (91) and Vojvodina's attack (94) vs FK Crvena Zvezda's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (FK Crvena Zvezda)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Vojvodina)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (FK Crvena Zvezda)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Vojvodina)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda
WDL
VojvodinaVojvodina
LLWW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
FK Crvena Zvezda42%
Draw25%
Vojvodina33%

FK Crvena Zvezda leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

FK Crvena Zvezda take on Vojvodina in Super Liga.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.83 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda against 1.54 for Vojvodina — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. FK Crvena Zvezda's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 55% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record FK Crvena Zvezda have won 6 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.

Why GoalVio backs this

FK Crvena Zvezda have won 6 of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours FK Crvena Zvezda, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Vojvodina score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.29 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Head to head

FK Crvena Zvezda 0Draws 01 Vojvodina
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
13 May 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
L12
Vojvodina

Recent form

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FK Crvena Zvezda

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Crvena Zvezda to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more