FK Crvena Zvezdavs
Radnicki NIS
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Radnicki NIS, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Radnicki NIS
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 80.2% | 74.2% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.11 | 12.8% | 17.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 13.11 | 7.0% | 8.6% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Projected Score
FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Radnicki NIS
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80