GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 8/6/2023, 2:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Napredak are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (94.4 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.5% in the Super Liga, while FK Crvena Zvezda holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Crvena Zvezda

Probability

74.5%

Model confidence

74.5%

FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
NapredakLDWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaNapredak
100.0Attack32.4
88.9Defence40.5
100.0Form36.0
94.4Power38.6
2.48xG0.62
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