FK Crvena Zvezdavs
Mladost Lucani
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Mladost Lucani, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Crvena Zvezda 5-1 Mladost Lucani
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 88.8% | 80.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 11.67 | 7.9% | 14.1% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 27.93 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Mladost Lucani
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60