FK Crvena Zvezdavs
Lille
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/26/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FK Crvena Zvezda are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lille are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60