GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lille are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LilleWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaLille
26.7Attack36.1
76.7Defence63.9
56.7Form41.7
56.4Power48.5
0.64xG0.52
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