FK Crvena Zvezdavs
FK Partizan
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK Partizan
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.3% | 53.4% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.36 | 17.0% | 23.3% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 7.11 | 12.8% | 23.3% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80