GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FCSB are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FCSBDDLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaFCSB
26.7Attack40.5
76.7Defence57.1
56.7Form57.1
56.4Power53.1
0.74xG0.59
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