FK Crvena Zvezdavs
FC Copenhagen
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC Copenhagen
Original prediction
FC Copenhagen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 41.0% | 27.4% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.9% | 25.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 32.0% | 47.6% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Copenhagen
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
FC Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00