GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Aarau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (80.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FK Crvena Zvezda holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Crvena Zvezda

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FC AarauLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Aarau
91.2Attack62.5
68.4Defence37.5
86.0Form50.0
80.8Power53.0
3.82xG0.99
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