GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Celtic are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while FK Crvena Zvezda holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Crvena Zvezda

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWDL

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CelticWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaCeltic
26.7Attack50.0
76.7Defence36.7
56.7Form46.7
56.4Power46.6
1.12xG0.71
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