GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.4 against 55.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK Crvena ZvezdaWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Celta VigoLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaCelta Vigo
26.7Attack52.4
76.7Defence54.8
56.7Form54.8
56.4Power55.5
0.78xG0.77
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